Thu 12 Nov

Osasuna v Athletic Club: numbers & prediction

La Liga · Spain · Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna

LWLWL
1–1
FT
Osasuna 30%Draw 21%Athletic Club 49% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.49
72%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: Osasuna to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAthletic Club to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92

Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Osasuna v Athletic Club in the La Liga – Saturday 7 November, 18:30 WAT, Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna sit 16th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Athletic Club are 7th on 16 (in the top half).

Form guide

Osasuna – form over the last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo La Coruna 1–2 on the road. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Athletic Club – form over the last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Real Sociedad 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Athletic Club have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 21 Apr 2026, finished Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Osasuna 1.1 – 1.5 Athletic Club in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Osasuna 30% · draw 21% · Athletic Club 49%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
  • Value angle: Osasuna to win at 3.60 – we make it 30%, the price implies 28%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Osasuna30%fair 3.29 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.50
Athletic Club49%fair 2.06 · @2.05
2.59Expected goals
1.10Osasuna xG
1.49Athletic Club xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Osasuna 1.1 – 1.5 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAthletic Club to win ✗49%2.062.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.95 ▲
Draw no betAthletic Club (draw no bet)62%1.63–
Asian handicapOsasuna +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
First team to scoreAthletic Club to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.92–

Recent results

Osasuna – last 6

LWLWLD
2 Nov@ Deportivo La Coruna1–2L
29 Oct@ Atletico Calatayud6–0W
26 Oct@ Sevilla0–2L
18 Octvs Racing Santander2–0W
11 Oct@ Real Betis2–5L
19 Sepvs Rayo Vallecano1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Athletic Club – last 6

WWWLDD
1 Novvs Real Sociedad2–1W
29 Oct@ Prat6–1W
25 Octvs Getafe4–0W
21 Oct@ Levante1–3L
17 Oct@ Valencia0–0D
19 Sepvs Alaves0–0D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Athletic Club v Osasuna1–0
Osasuna vs Athletic Club head-to-head page →

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

More La Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

On our numbers Osasuna have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Athletic Club 49%.

How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

Osasuna vs Athletic Club (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.