Wed 11 Nov

Malaga v Racing Santander: numbers & prediction

La Liga · Spain · Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga

LWDLD
1–2
FT
Malaga 39%Draw 21%Racing Santander 40% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.58
80%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Racing Santander to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRacing Santander to win ✓40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.83

Malaga vs Racing Santander prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

La Liga action on Saturday 7 November: Malaga take on Racing Santander at Estadio La Rosaleda from 14:00 WAT. Malaga sit 20th with 5 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Racing Santander are 10th on 14 (in the top half).

Form guide

Malaga – form over the last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Real Betis 1–2 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.

Racing Santander – form over the last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Real Madrid 0–3 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.2 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Malaga 1–1 Racing Santander.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Malaga 1.5 – 1.6 Racing Santander in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 62% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Malaga 39% · draw 21% · Racing Santander 40%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Racing Santander to win at 2.88 – we make it 40%, the price implies 35%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Malaga 1–1 Racing Santander. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Malaga39%fair 2.56 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.60
Racing Santander40%fair 2.49 · @2.88
3.13Expected goals
1.55Malaga xG
1.58Racing Santander xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Malaga 1.5 – 1.6 Racing Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRacing Santander to win ✓40%2.492.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.57
Draw no betRacing Santander (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapMalaga +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.711.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
First team to scoreRacing Santander to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Racing Santander / FT Racing Santander ✗23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.83–

Recent results

Malaga – last 6

LWDLDL
31 Oct@ Real Betis1–2L
27 Oct@ Alcazar3–0W
23 Oct@ Alaves1–1D
18 Octvs Real Sociedad2–5L
9 Octvs Espanyol1–1D
20 Sep@ Getafe0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Racing Santander – last 6

LWWLDL
1 Novvs Real Madrid0–3L
29 Oct@ Ribadesella CF2–0W
24 Octvs Espanyol2–1W
18 Oct@ Osasuna0–2L
11 Octvs Valencia2–2D
19 Sep@ Celta Vigo0–5L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Malaga v Racing Santander1–1
Malaga vs Racing Santander head-to-head page →

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

More La Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malaga vs Racing Santander?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Malaga vs Racing Santander?

On our numbers Malaga have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Racing Santander 40%.

How many goals will there be in Malaga vs Racing Santander?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Racing Santander?

Our predicted score is Malaga 1–1 Racing Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Malaga vs Racing Santander?

Malaga vs Racing Santander (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Rosaleda.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.