Wed 11 Nov

Leeds v Tottenham: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Elland Road

Leeds

LDDLD
1–0
FT
Leeds 32%Draw 22%Tottenham 45% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.33
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Tottenham to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTottenham to win ✗45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Leeds vs Tottenham prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Premier League action on Saturday 7 November: Leeds take on Tottenham at Elland Road from 13:30 WAT. Leeds sit 9th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Tottenham are 11th on 12 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Leeds – form over the last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Bournemouth 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.0 per game.

Tottenham – form over the last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Crystal Palace 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Tottenham have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Leeds 1.1 – 1.3 Tottenham in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Leeds 32% · draw 22% · Tottenham 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
  • Value angle: Tottenham to win at 2.60 – we make it 45%, the price implies 38%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Leeds 1–1 Tottenham. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Leeds32%fair 3.09 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.25
Tottenham45%fair 2.21 · @2.60
2.39Expected goals
1.07Leeds xG
1.33Tottenham xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Leeds 1.1 – 1.3 Tottenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTottenham to win ✗45%2.212.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.75
Draw no betTottenham (draw no bet) ✗58%1.72–
Asian handicapLeeds +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.11
First team to scoreTottenham to score first ✗50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tottenham / FT Tottenham ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Leeds – last 6

LDDLDW
31 Oct@ Bournemouth0–2L
25 Oct@ Sunderland0–0D
18 Octvs Manchester United1–1D
10 Oct@ Arsenal1–2L
20 Sepvs Crystal Palace0–0D
14 Sepvs Newcastle4–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tottenham – last 6

WWWDLL
31 Octvs Crystal Palace2–0W
24 Oct@ Chelsea2–0W
19 Octvs Coventry3–1W
10 Oct@ Manchester United1–1D
19 Sepvs Aston Villa2–3L
15 Sep@ Liverpool1–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leeds and Tottenham.

Leeds vs Tottenham head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leeds vs Tottenham?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham?

On our numbers Leeds have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tottenham 45%.

How many goals will there be in Leeds vs Tottenham?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Tottenham?

Our predicted score is Leeds 1–1 Tottenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Leeds vs Tottenham?

Leeds vs Tottenham (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Elland Road.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.