Thu 12 Nov

Arsenal v Hull City: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Emirates Stadium

Arsenal

WWDWD
1–0
FT
Arsenal 73%Draw 15%Hull City 12% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.64
64%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArsenal to win ✓73% · @1.14
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00

Arsenal vs Hull City prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Premier League action on Saturday 7 November: Arsenal take on Hull City at Emirates Stadium from 16:00 WAT. Arsenal sit 1st with 27 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Hull City are 13th on 11 (in the bottom half). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Arsenal – form over the last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Slavia Praha 2–1 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Hull City – form over the last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Ipswich 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.

On form, Arsenal have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Arsenal 2.1 – 0.6 Hull City in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 57% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Arsenal 73% · draw 15% · Hull City 12%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.50.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – we make it 50%, the price implies 40%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.55, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Arsenal 2–0 Hull City. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Arsenal73%fair 1.36 · @1.14
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @8.00
Hull City12%fair 8.62 · @19.00
2.76Expected goals
2.12Arsenal xG
0.64Hull City xG
50%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%

From our goals model: Arsenal 2.1 – 0.6 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal to win ✓73%1.361.14
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓88%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.50 ▲
Draw no betArsenal (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapArsenal -1 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.551.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.25
First team to scoreArsenal to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultArsenal ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal / FT Arsenal ✗47%2.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.00–

Recent results

Arsenal – last 6

WWDWDW
4 Nov@ Slavia Praha2–1W
1 Nov@ Liverpool1–0W
27 Oct@ Fleetwood Town1–1D
24 Octvs Everton2–0W
21 Oct@ Bayern München2–2D
18 Oct@ Nottingham Forest1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hull City – last 6

DDLDLD
31 Octvs Ipswich2–2D
25 Octvs Brentford1–1D
17 Oct@ Fulham0–1L
11 Octvs Everton2–2D
19 Sep@ Newcastle1–2L
12 Sep@ Chelsea2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arsenal and Hull City.

Arsenal vs Hull City head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?

On our numbers Arsenal have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Hull City 12%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Hull City?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is Arsenal 2–0 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Arsenal vs Hull City?

Arsenal vs Hull City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.