Wed 11 Nov

Fulham v Newcastle: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Craven Cottage

Fulham

DLWWL
1–1
FT
Fulham 48%Draw 20%Newcastle 31% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.21
78%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Newcastle to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFulham to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75

Fulham vs Newcastle prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Fulham v Newcastle in the Premier League – Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, Craven Cottage. Fulham sit 15th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Newcastle are 12th on 12 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Fulham – form over the last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Aston Villa 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Newcastle – form over the last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Everton 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.7 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Fulham 2–0 Newcastle.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Fulham 1.6 – 1.2 Newcastle in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 62% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Fulham 48% · draw 20% · Newcastle 31%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Newcastle to win at 3.50 – we make it 31%, the price implies 29%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fulham 1–1 Newcastle. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Fulham48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.70
Newcastle31%fair 3.20 · @3.50
2.80Expected goals
1.59Fulham xG
1.21Newcastle xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Fulham 1.6 – 1.2 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFulham to win ✗48%2.072.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.57
Draw no betFulham (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapNewcastle +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
First team to scoreFulham to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fulham / FT Fulham ✗28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.75–

Recent results

Fulham – last 6

DLWWLD
31 Oct@ Aston Villa1–1D
28 Octvs Crystal Palace0–1L
24 Oct@ Coventry1–0W
17 Octvs Hull City1–0W
10 Oct@ Ipswich1–2L
20 Sepvs Manchester United1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Newcastle – last 6

LLWLLW
2 Novvs Everton0–1L
29 Oct@ Everton1–3L
25 Oct@ Crystal Palace2–0W
17 Octvs Aston Villa0–1L
12 Oct@ Coventry1–4L
19 Sepvs Hull City2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Fulham v Newcastle2–0
Fulham vs Newcastle head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?

On our numbers Fulham have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle 31%.

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Newcastle?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle?

Our predicted score is Fulham 1–1 Newcastle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Fulham vs Newcastle?

Fulham vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Craven Cottage.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.