Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul in the Liga MX – Sunday 8 November, 00:00 WAT, Estadio Universitario. Tigres UANL sit 15th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Cruz Azul are 1st on 32 (top of the table). A 17-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Tigres UANL – form over the last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to CF Pachuca 0–3 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.
Cruz Azul – form over the last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Leon 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 3.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
On form, Cruz Azul have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 15 Feb 2026, finished Cruz Azul 2–1 Tigres UANL.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Tigres UANL 1.3 – 1.7 Cruz Azul in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Tigres UANL 32% · draw 21% · Cruz Azul 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Cruz Azul to win at 2.30 – we make it 48%, the price implies 43%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz Azul. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Tigres UANL32%fair 3.17 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Cruz Azul48%fair 2.10 · @2.30
3.04Expected goals
1.34Tigres UANL xG
1.71Cruz Azul xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.3 – 1.7 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cruz Azul 48%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
