Wed 11 Nov

Atlas v CF Pachuca: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Jalisco

Atlas

WWLWD
1–4
FT
Atlas 38%Draw 22%CF Pachuca 40% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.55
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: CF Pachuca to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCF Pachuca to win ✓40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Atlas v CF Pachuca in the Liga MX – Sunday 8 November, 00:00 WAT, Estadio Jalisco. Atlas sit 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while CF Pachuca are 8th on 22 (in the top half).

Form guide

Atlas – form over the last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Atletico San Luis 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

CF Pachuca – form over the last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Tigres UANL 3–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Atlas have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 15 Feb 2026, finished Pachuca 3–1 Atlas.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Atlas 1.5 – 1.5 CF Pachuca in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Atlas 38% · draw 22% · CF Pachuca 40%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: CF Pachuca to win at 2.88 – we make it 40%, the price implies 35%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atlas 1–1 CF Pachuca. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Atlas38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.40
CF Pachuca40%fair 2.48 · @2.88
3.03Expected goals
1.48Atlas xG
1.55CF Pachuca xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Atlas 1.5 – 1.5 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Pachuca to win ✓40%2.482.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.57
Draw no betCF Pachuca (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapAtlas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.231.17
First team to scoreCF Pachuca to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Pachuca / FT CF Pachuca ✓23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Atlas – last 6

WWLWDW
31 Oct@ Atletico San Luis1–0W
26 Octvs Puebla4–3W
22 Octvs Club America2–5L
17 Oct@ Necaxa2–0W
11 Octvs Guadalajara Chivas1–1D
26 Sep@ Club Tijuana3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CF Pachuca – last 6

WWLLDL
1 Novvs Tigres UANL3–0W
26 Oct@ Club America2–1W
22 Octvs Cruz Azul1–2L
19 Oct@ Monterrey1–2L
12 Octvs Necaxa3–3D
27 Sep@ Santos Laguna0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Pachuca v Atlas3–1
Atlas vs CF Pachuca head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

On our numbers Atlas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CF Pachuca 40%.

How many goals will there be in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

Atlas vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.