Wed 11 Nov

Torino v Lecce: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Italy · Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Torino

LLWWW
1–1
FT

Lecce

LLLWL
Torino 61%Draw 24%Lecce 15% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.89
76%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Torino to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTorino to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceTorino or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Torino vs Lecce prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Torino host Lecce in the Serie A on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 15:00 WAT at Stadio Olimpico di Torino. Torino sit 11th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Lecce are 14th on 10 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Torino – form over the last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Frosinone 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game.

Lecce – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Genoa 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.3 per game.

On form, Torino have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Torino 2.0 – 0.9 Lecce in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Torino 61% · draw 24% · Lecce 15%.
  • Safer play: Torino or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Torino to win at 1.80 – we make it 61%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Torino 2–0 Lecce. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Torino61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.60
Lecce15%fair 6.82 · @4.75
2.87Expected goals
1.98Torino xG
0.89Lecce xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Torino 2.0 – 0.9 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorino to win ✗61%1.631.80 ▲
Double chanceTorino or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.80
Draw no betTorino (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapTorino -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreTorino to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultTorino ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torino / FT Torino ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Torino – last 6

LLWWWD
1 Nov@ Frosinone0–2L
27 Octvs Como1–3L
23 Octvs Monza3–2W
19 Oct@ Parma3–0W
12 Octvs Udinese2–1W
19 Sep@ Bologna1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lecce – last 6

LLLWLL
1 Novvs Genoa1–2L
29 Oct@ Frosinone1–5L
25 Octvs Juventus0–2L
18 Oct@ Udinese3–0W
11 Octvs Bologna1–2L
20 Sep@ AC Milan0–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Torino and Lecce.

Torino vs Lecce head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lazio11920+1629
2Inter11911+1528
3AS Roma11830+2127
4AC Milan11731+1024
5Como11722+823
6Frosinone11623+920
7Juventus11533+318
8Bologna11524+217
9Cagliari11515-516
10Napoli11434+415
11Torino11425-214
12Atalanta11425-314
13Genoa11416-513
14Lecce11317-1010
15Fiorentina11236-89
16Parma11227-88
17Sassuolo11227-138
18Monza11218-87
19Venezia11209-136
20Udinese11128-135

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torino vs Lecce?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Torino vs Lecce?

On our numbers Torino have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lecce 15%.

How many goals will there be in Torino vs Lecce?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torino vs Lecce?

Our predicted score is Torino 2–0 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Torino vs Lecce?

Torino vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.