Serie A action on Saturday 7 November: AS Roma take on Sassuolo at Stadio Olimpico from 20:45 WAT. AS Roma sit 3rd with 27 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Sassuolo are 17th on 8 (in the bottom half). A 19-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
AS Roma – form over the last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Manchester United 2–3 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 3.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Sassuolo – form over the last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Fiorentina 2–4 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 3.2 per game.
On form, AS Roma have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects AS Roma 2.7 – 1.1 Sassuolo in expected goals – roughly 3.8 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 72% likely and both teams score 61% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: AS Roma 71% · draw 19% · Sassuolo 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: AS Roma 2–1 Sassuolo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
AS Roma71%fair 1.42 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.75
Sassuolo11%fair 9.25 · @9.00
3.80Expected goals
2.72AS Roma xG
1.07Sassuolo xG
61%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: AS Roma 2.7 – 1.1 Sassuolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Double chance
AS Roma or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
AS Roma (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
AS Roma -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.91
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
First team to score
AS Roma to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma✓
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
AS Roma – last 6
LWWDWW
3 Nov
@ Manchester United
2–3
L
31 Oct
@ Udinese
5–2
W
27 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Napoli
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Slovan Bratislava
4–0
W
17 Oct
vs Genoa
2–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sassuolo – last 6
LLLLDL
2 Nov
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
27 Oct
vs Lazio
2–6
L
24 Oct
@ Como
0–2
L
16 Oct
@ Frosinone
2–4
L
11 Oct
vs AC Milan
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Monza
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Roma and Sassuolo.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sassuolo 11%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
Our predicted score is AS Roma 2–1 Sassuolo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
AS Roma vs Sassuolo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
