Value bet: Bologna to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBologna to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceBologna or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.63
Parma vs Bologna prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Parma host Bologna in the Serie A on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 18:00 WAT at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Parma sit 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Bologna are 8th on 17 (in the top half).
Form guide
Parma – form over the last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Atalanta 3–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.
Bologna – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Monza 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
On form, Bologna have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Parma 0.7 – 1.7 Bologna in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Parma 17% · draw 20% · Bologna 63%.
Safer play: Bologna or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Bologna to win at 1.80 – we make it 63%, the price implies 56%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Parma 0–1 Bologna. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Parma17%fair 5.74 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.60
Bologna63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
2.49Expected goals
0.75Parma xG
1.74Bologna xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Parma 0.7 – 1.7 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bologna to win✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Bologna or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Bologna (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Bologna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Bologna to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Bologna ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bologna / FT Bologna✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
WDLLLW
2 Nov
@ Atalanta
3–0
W
28 Oct
vs Udinese
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lazio
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Genoa
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bologna – last 6
WWWLWD
31 Oct
vs Monza
2–1
W
28 Oct
@ AC Milan
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Inter
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Lecce
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Torino
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Bologna.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Parma vs Bologna?
On our numbers Parma have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bologna 63%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is Parma 0–1 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Bologna?
Parma vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
