Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓74% · @1.07
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Santa Fe host Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 20:00 WAT. Santa Fe sit 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Pasto are 18th on 15 (in the bottom three). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Santa Fe – form over the last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Cucuta 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Deportivo Pasto – form over the last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Bucaramanga 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 24 Apr 2026, finished Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Santa Fe.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Santa Fe 2.2 – 0.6 Deportivo Pasto in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 56% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Santa Fe 74% · draw 19% · Deportivo Pasto 6%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.90 – we make it 59%, the price implies 53%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Santa Fe 2–0 Deportivo Pasto. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Santa Fe74%fair 1.34 · @1.07
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @8.75
Deportivo Pasto6%fair 15.80 · @24.00
2.81Expected goals
2.25Santa Fe xG
0.56Deportivo Pasto xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
4–06%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 2.2 – 0.6 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportivo Pasto 6%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 2–0 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
