Atletico Nacional 76%Draw 15%Deportivo Pereira 9%Expected goals 2.29 – 0.61
62%
ZoraTips pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.61 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.61Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓76% · @1.17
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.11
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A – Sunday 8 November, 00:10 WAT, Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional sit 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Deportivo Pereira are 17th on 17 (in the bottom half). A 22-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Atletico Nacional – form over the last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Bucaramanga 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Deportivo Pereira – form over the last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Deportes Tolima 1–3 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Atletico Nacional have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Atletico Nacional 2.3 – 0.6 Deportivo Pereira in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 51% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Atletico Nacional 76% · draw 15% · Deportivo Pereira 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.11.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.11 – we make it 51%, the price implies 47%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.61. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Deportivo Pereira. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional76%fair 1.32 · @1.17
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @6.45
Deportivo Pereira9%fair 11.32 · @13.00
2.91Expected goals
2.29Atletico Nacional xG
0.61Deportivo Pereira xG
51%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.3 – 0.6 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.11 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.61
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional – last 6
DWWWLW
3 Nov
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
30 Oct
vs Santa Fe
2–0
W
26 Oct
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
23 Oct
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–0
W
21 Oct
@ Cucuta
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Chico
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
LWDWDD
3 Nov
vs Deportes Tolima
1–3
L
30 Oct
vs Jaguares
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Once Caldas
1–1
D
20 Oct
vs Chico
2–0
W
14 Oct
@ Junior
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Deportivo Cali
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Deportivo Pereira 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
