Wed 11 Nov

Jaguares v Bucaramanga: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Jaraguay
0–4
FT
Jaguares 24%Draw 19%Bucaramanga 57% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.74
76%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Bucaramanga to win @ 1.89 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBucaramanga to win ✓57% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Jaguares vs Bucaramanga prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Jaguares v Bucaramanga in the Primera A – Sunday 8 November, 22:05 WAT, Estadio Jaraguay. Jaguares sit 19th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Bucaramanga are 4th on 32 (in the top four). A 19-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Jaguares – form over the last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Pereira 0–1 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 1.8 per game.

Bucaramanga – form over the last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Atletico Nacional 1–1 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Jaguares 1.0 – 1.7 Bucaramanga in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Jaguares 24% · draw 19% · Bucaramanga 57%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
  • Value angle: Bucaramanga to win at 1.89 – we make it 57%, the price implies 53%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Jaguares 1–1 Bucaramanga. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Jaguares24%fair 4.16 · @3.60
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.60
Bucaramanga57%fair 1.74 · @1.89
2.73Expected goals
0.99Jaguares xG
1.74Bucaramanga xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Jaguares 1.0 – 1.7 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBucaramanga to win ✓57%1.741.89 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.65
Draw no betBucaramanga (draw no bet) ✓70%1.42–
Asian handicapJaguares +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.09
First team to scoreBucaramanga to score first ✓59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga ✓34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Jaguares – last 6

LWLLWL
30 Oct@ Deportivo Pereira0–1L
27 Octvs Llaneros1–0W
22 Oct@ Santa Fe1–2L
18 Oct@ Millonarios1–4L
11 Octvs Deportes Tolima3–2W
3 Oct@ Águilas Doradas0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bucaramanga – last 6

DWLLDD
3 Novvs Atletico Nacional1–1D
31 Octvs Deportivo Pasto2–1W
27 Oct@ Santa Fe1–2L
24 Oct@ Chico0–1L
18 Octvs America de Cali1–1D
14 Octvs Águilas Doradas1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Bucaramanga.

Jaguares vs Bucaramanga head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

On our numbers Jaguares have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bucaramanga 57%.

How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

Our predicted score is Jaguares 1–1 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

Jaguares vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.