Thu 12 Nov

Indonesia v Mozambique: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Gelora Bung Karno Stadium
1–0
FT
Indonesia 63%Draw 18%Mozambique 19% Expected goals 2.23 – 1.15
81%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIndonesia to win ✓63% · @1.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Indonesia vs Mozambique prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Friendlies action on Tuesday 9 June: Indonesia take on Mozambique at Gelora Bung Karno Stadium from 14:00 WAT.

Form guide

Indonesia – form over the last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Oman 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Indonesia 2.2 – 1.2 Mozambique in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Indonesia 63% · draw 18% · Mozambique 19%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – we make it 60%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Indonesia 2–1 Mozambique. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Indonesia63%fair 1.59 · @1.45
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.40
Mozambique19%fair 5.13 · @5.25
3.38Expected goals
2.23Indonesia xG
1.15Mozambique xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Indonesia 2.2 – 1.2 Mozambique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndonesia to win ✓63%1.591.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.651.80 ▲
Draw no betIndonesia (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapIndonesia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.241.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.631.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreIndonesia to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultIndonesia ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Indonesia / FT Indonesia ✓40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Indonesia – last 3

WLW
5 Junvs Oman3–0W
30 Marvs Bulgaria0–1L
27 Marvs St. Kitts and Nevis4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mozambique

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Indonesia and Mozambique.

Indonesia vs Mozambique head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Indonesia vs Mozambique?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Indonesia vs Mozambique?

On our numbers Indonesia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Mozambique 19%.

How many goals will there be in Indonesia vs Mozambique?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Mozambique?

Our predicted score is Indonesia 2–1 Mozambique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Indonesia vs Mozambique?

Indonesia vs Mozambique (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Karno Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.