Value bet: China to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChina to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
China vs Thailand prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
China host Thailand in the Friendlies on Tuesday 9 June, kicking off at 12:35 WAT at Hangzhou Dragon Stadium.
Form guide
China – form over the last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Singapore 2–1 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects China 2.0 – 1.1 Thailand in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 53% for over 2.5 goals, 57% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: China 59% · draw 20% · Thailand 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: China to win at 1.95 – we make it 59%, the price implies 51%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: China 1–1 Thailand. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
China59%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.30
Thailand21%fair 4.83 · @3.45
3.07Expected goals
2.00China xG
1.08Thailand xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: China 2.0 – 1.1 Thailand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
China to win✗
59%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
China (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Thailand +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
China to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
China ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT China / FT China✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
China – last 3
WLW
5 Jun
@ Singapore
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Cameroon
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Curaçao
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Thailand – last 2
DW
5 Jun
vs Kuwait
2–2
D
31 Mar
vs Turkmenistan
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China and Thailand.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win China vs Thailand?
On our numbers China have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thailand 21%.
How many goals will there be in China vs Thailand?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China vs Thailand?
Our predicted score is China 1–1 Thailand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is China vs Thailand?
China vs Thailand (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Hangzhou Dragon Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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