Sat 14 Nov

Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · National Sports Stadium
Mon 16 Nov 2026
Zimbabwe 44%Draw 24%Equatorial Guinea 33% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.10
66%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultZimbabwe to win44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.11
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.68

Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Zimbabwe host Equatorial Guinea in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Monday 16 November, kicking off at 14:00 WAT at National Sports Stadium. Zimbabwe sit 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, while Equatorial Guinea are 2nd on 8. The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Zimbabwe – form over the last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Equatorial Guinea 0–0 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Equatorial Guinea – form over the last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Zimbabwe 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 12 Nov 2026, finished Equatorial Guinea 0–0 Zimbabwe.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Zimbabwe 1.3 – 1.1 Equatorial Guinea in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 40% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Zimbabwe 44% · draw 24% · Equatorial Guinea 33%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.11.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.11 – we make it 52%, the price implies 47%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Zimbabwe 1–1 Equatorial Guinea. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Zimbabwe44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.04
Equatorial Guinea33%fair 3.05 · @3.30
2.43Expected goals
1.33Zimbabwe xG
1.10Equatorial Guinea xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Zimbabwe 1.3 – 1.1 Equatorial Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZimbabwe to win44%2.292.20
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.932.11 ▲
Draw no betZimbabwe (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapEquatorial Guinea +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.521.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.671.43
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.261.10
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.11–
First team to scoreZimbabwe to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zimbabwe / FT Zimbabwe24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.68–

Recent results

Zimbabwe – last 5

DLWLW
12 Nov@ Equatorial Guinea0–0D
28 Sepvs Congo DR1–2L
24 Sep@ Sierra Leone3–2W
26 May@ Nigeria0–2L
31 Marvs Zambia U231–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Equatorial Guinea – last 5

DWLLD
12 Novvs Zimbabwe0–0D
28 Sepvs Sierra Leone1–0W
24 Sep@ Congo DR0–2L
8 Junvs Comoros0–1L
31 Marvs Madagascar1–1D
0.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Nov 2026Equatorial Guinea v Zimbabwe0–0
Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria6510+1416
2Equatorial Guinea6222-38
3Togo6123-35
4Liberia6114-84

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

On our numbers Zimbabwe have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Equatorial Guinea 33%.

How many goals will there be in Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

Our predicted score is Zimbabwe 1–1 Equatorial Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at National Sports Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.