Sudan v Senegal Prediction & Expected Goals (16 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSenegal to win74% · @1.17

Double chanceSenegal or draw90% · fair 1.11

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.34

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.08

Sudan vs Senegal prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Sudan host Senegal in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Monday 16 November, kicking off at 14:00 WAT. Sudan sit 2nd with 8 points from 6 games, while Senegal are 1st on 16.

Form guide

Sudan – form over the last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Senegal 1–4 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 2.7 per game.

Senegal – form over the last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Sudan 4–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Senegal have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 12 Nov 2026, finished Senegal 4–1 Sudan.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Sudan 0.5 – 2.0 Senegal in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 44% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Sudan 10% · draw 16% · Senegal 74%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.34.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sudan 0–1 Senegal. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Sudan10%fair 9.90 · @16.00

Draw16%fair 6.10 · @5.95

Senegal74%fair 1.36 · @1.17

2.48Expected goals

0.51Sudan xG

1.97Senegal xG

44%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%

0–216%

0–311%

1–18%

0–08%

1–28%

From our goals model: Sudan 0.5 – 2.0 Senegal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Senegal to win	74%	1.36	1.17
Double chance	Senegal or draw	90%	1.11	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.80	1.34
Draw no bet	Senegal (draw no bet)	88%	1.14	–
Asian handicap	Senegal -1 (Asian handicap)	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	72%	1.39	1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	73%	1.36	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	87%	1.15	1.06
First team to score	Senegal to score first	73%	1.38	–
Half-time result	Senegal ahead at half-time	50%	1.99	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Senegal / FT Senegal	47%	2.13	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1	16%	6.08	–

Sudan – last 3

LLW

12 Nov	@ Senegal	1–4	L
29 Sep	@ Mozambique	1–4	L
25 Sep	vs Ethiopia	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Senegal – last 6

WWWDDW

12 Nov	vs Sudan	4–1	W
4 Oct	@ Comoros	1–0	W
29 Sep	@ Ethiopia	1–0	W
25 Sep	@ Mozambique	1–1	D
1 Jul	@ Belgium	2–2	D
26 Jun	vs Iraq	5–0	W

2.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	-2	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	+1	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	-4	3

Team

Pts

-2

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sudan vs Senegal?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Sudan vs Senegal?

On our numbers Sudan have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Senegal 74%.

How many goals will there be in Sudan vs Senegal?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sudan vs Senegal?

Our predicted score is Sudan 0–1 Senegal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sudan vs Senegal?

Sudan vs Senegal (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sudan v Senegal: numbers & prediction