Eritrea v Guinea Prediction & Expected Goals (16 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuinea to win76% · @1.17

Double chanceGuinea or draw95% · fair 1.06

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.39

GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–312% · fair 8.14

Eritrea vs Guinea prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Eritrea host Guinea in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Monday 16 November, kicking off at 17:00 WAT at Al Salam Stadium.

Form guide

Eritrea – form over the last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Guinea 1–2 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.8 per game.

Guinea – form over the last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Eritrea 2–1 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 12 Nov 2026, finished Guinea 2–1 Eritrea.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Eritrea 0.5 – 2.2 Guinea in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 45% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Eritrea 5% · draw 18% · Guinea 76%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.39.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Eritrea 0–2 Guinea. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Eritrea5%fair 18.47 · @15.25

Draw18%fair 5.51 · @6.00

Guinea76%fair 1.31 · @1.17

2.71Expected goals

0.48Eritrea xG

2.23Guinea xG

45%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–217%

0–115%

0–312%

1–28%

1–17%

0–47%

From our goals model: Eritrea 0.5 – 2.2 Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guinea to win	76%	1.31	1.17
Double chance	Guinea or draw	95%	1.06	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	55%	1.81	1.39
Draw no bet	Guinea (draw no bet)	93%	1.07	–
Asian handicap	Guinea -1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.33	1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	70%	1.43	1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	85%	1.18	1.08
First team to score	Guinea to score first	77%	1.30	–
Half-time result	Guinea ahead at half-time	55%	1.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guinea / FT Guinea	52%	1.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–3	12%	8.14	–

Eritrea – last 5

LLDWW

12 Nov	@ Guinea	1–2	L
30 Sep	vs South Africa	0–5	L
26 Sep	@ Kenya	1–1	D
31 Mar	@ Eswatini	2–1	W
25 Mar	vs Eswatini	2–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Guinea – last 6

WWLLLD

12 Nov	vs Eritrea	2–1	W
1 Oct	vs Kenya	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ South Africa	1–2	L
4 Jun	@ Northern Ireland	0–1	L
31 Mar	vs Benin	0–1	L
27 Mar	vs Togo	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	6	4	0	2	+4	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	+4	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	-9	4

Team

Pts

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eritrea vs Guinea?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Eritrea vs Guinea?

On our numbers Eritrea have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Guinea 76%.

How many goals will there be in Eritrea vs Guinea?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eritrea vs Guinea?

Our predicted score is Eritrea 0–2 Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Eritrea vs Guinea?

Eritrea vs Guinea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Salam Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Eritrea v Guinea: numbers & prediction

Eritrea