Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Super Nova host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT at Slokas Stadions. Super Nova sit 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while BFC Daugavpils are 4th on 52 (in the top four). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Super Nova – form over the last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with FK Liepaja 3–3 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 2.3 per game.
BFC Daugavpils – form over the last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Tukums 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, BFC Daugavpils have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, finished Super Nova 0–0 BFC Daugavpils. Across the last 3 meetings Super Nova have won 1, BFC Daugavpils 0, with 2 draws, averaging 0.3 goals.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Super Nova 1.1 – 1.4 BFC Daugavpils in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Super Nova 32% · draw 21% · BFC Daugavpils 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Super Nova32%fair 3.16 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
BFC Daugavpils47%fair 2.11 · @2.05
2.54Expected goals
1.11Super Nova xG
1.44BFC Daugavpils xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.1 – 1.4 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFC Daugavpils 47%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
