Thu 12 Nov

FS Jelgava v Ogre United: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
4–0
FT
FS Jelgava 58%Draw 24%Ogre United 18% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.07
58%
ZoraTips pick

FS Jelgava to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultFS Jelgava to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceFS Jelgava or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is FS Jelgava v Ogre United in the Virsliga – Sunday 8 November, 12:00 WAT, Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. FS Jelgava sit 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Ogre United are 10th on 19 (in the bottom three). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

FS Jelgava – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Auda 3–4 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Ogre United – form over the last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Riga 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Ogre United have the edge: 0.7 points a game against 0.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, finished Ogre United 2–3 FS Jelgava. Across the last 3 meetings FS Jelgava have won 2s, Ogre United 1, with 0 draws, averaging 2.7 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects FS Jelgava 2.0 – 1.1 Ogre United in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for over 2.5 goals, 61% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: FS Jelgava 58% · draw 24% · Ogre United 18%.
  • Safer play: FS Jelgava or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked FS Jelgava to win, rated at 58% confidence at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 2–1 Ogre United. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

FS Jelgava58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.75
Ogre United18%fair 5.59 · @3.80
3.10Expected goals
2.03FS Jelgava xG
1.07Ogre United xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: FS Jelgava 2.0 – 1.1 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFS Jelgava to win ✓58%1.721.73
Double chanceFS Jelgava or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.57
Draw no betFS Jelgava (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapOgre United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
First team to scoreFS Jelgava to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultFS Jelgava ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT FS Jelgava / FT FS Jelgava ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

FS Jelgava – last 6

LLLLLD
1 Nov@ Auda3–4L
25 Octvs BFC Daugavpils0–1L
18 Oct@ FK Liepaja0–3L
11 Oct@ Rīgas FS2–4L
19 Sepvs Riga0–1L
12 Sep@ Grobiņa0–0D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ogre United – last 6

DLLLWL
1 Novvs Riga0–0D
25 Octvs Auda1–4L
17 Oct@ Grobiņa2–3L
11 Octvs BFC Daugavpils1–2L
20 Sepvs Super Nova1–0W
16 Sep@ Auda0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Ogre United v FS Jelgava2–3
17 Jun 2026FS Jelgava v Ogre United0–2
27 Apr 2026Ogre United v FS Jelgava0–1
FS Jelgava vs Ogre United head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

Our pick is FS Jelgava to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ogre United 18%.

How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 2–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.