Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FK Liepaja to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.21
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Grobiņa host FK Liepaja in the Virsliga on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT. Grobiņa sit 8th with 29 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while FK Liepaja are 5th on 51 (in the top half). A 22-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Grobiņa – form over the last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–3 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.2 per game.
FK Liepaja – form over the last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Super Nova 3–3 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 1.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 21 Aug 2026, finished FK Liepaja 3–1 Grobiņa. Across the last 3 meetings Grobiņa have won 1, FK Liepaja 1, with 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Grobiņa 0.8 – 2.0 FK Liepaja in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 56% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Grobiņa 15% · draw 19% · FK Liepaja 66%.
Safer play: FK Liepaja or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Value angle: FK Liepaja to win at 1.73 – we make it 66%, the price implies 58%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked FK Liepaja or draw, rated at 85% confidence at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Grobiņa 0–2 FK Liepaja. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Grobiņa15%fair 6.81 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.70
FK Liepaja66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
2.87Expected goals
0.83Grobiņa xG
2.04FK Liepaja xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 0.8 – 2.0 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FK Liepaja or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FK Liepaja 66%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 0–2 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
