Thu 12 Nov

Tigre v Sarmiento Junin: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina

Tigre

WLDLL
1–0
FT

Sarmiento Junin

LLDDW
Tigre 61%Draw 26%Sarmiento Junin 12% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.61
61%
ZoraTips pick

Tigre to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultTigre to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceTigre or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.78

Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Tigre host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT. Tigre sit 20th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Sarmiento Junin are 19th on 40 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Tigre – form over the last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Huracan 2–0 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.

Sarmiento Junin – form over the last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Tigre.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Tigre 1.6 – 0.6 Sarmiento Junin in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 38% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Tigre 61% · draw 26% · Sarmiento Junin 12%.
  • Safer play: Tigre or draw (88%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Tigre to win, rated at 61% confidence at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.64, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Tigre 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Tigre61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
Sarmiento Junin12%fair 8.00 · @4.75
2.25Expected goals
1.63Tigre xG
0.61Sarmiento Junin xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Tigre 1.6 – 0.6 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigre to win ✓61%1.641.75 ▲
Double chanceTigre or draw ✓88%1.141.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.57
Draw no betTigre (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapTigre -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.561.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreTigre to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigre / FT Tigre ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.78–

Recent results

Tigre – last 6

WLDLLL
30 Oct@ Huracan2–0W
24 Octvs Atletico Tucuman0–1L
17 Oct@ Independ. Rivadavia2–2D
10 Octvs Banfield1–2L
4 Oct@ Argentinos JRS1–2L
21 Sep@ Velez Sarsfield2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sarmiento Junin – last 6

LLDDWL
31 Octvs Rosario Central1–2L
23 Oct@ Gimnasia L.P.0–2L
19 Octvs Barracas Central1–1D
14 Octvs River Plate1–1D
9 Oct@ Aldosivi3–1W
19 Sep@ Racing Club1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Sarmiento Junin v Tigre1–0
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub
FT Aldosivi0 River Plate2 18%7.50X23%3.75269%1.44 0.5–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Argentinos JRS0 Huracan2 162%1.93X21%3.20217%4.55 1.5–0.6xG 1XArgentinos JRS or draw 83%@1.22 ✗
FT Banfield2 Atletico Tucuman2 142%2.50X23%3.15235%3.00 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.23 ✗
FT Barracas Central2 Racing Club0 140%2.45X24%2.88236%3.00 1.1–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Boca Juniors1 Defensa Y Justicia0 169%1.38X23%4.3328%9.50 2.0–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗
FT Central Cordoba de Santiago1 Lanus1 114%5.25X25%3.50260%1.73 0.7–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Gimnasia M.1 Independ. Rivadavia1 138%2.77X24%3.15238%2.70 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Independiente2 Deportivo Riestra1 159%1.75X24%3.40217%5.40 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our pick is Tigre to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

On our numbers Tigre have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sarmiento Junin 12%.

How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our predicted score is Tigre 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.