Thu 12 Nov

Independiente v Deportivo Riestra: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina

Independiente

DLDDL
2–1
FT

Deportivo Riestra

LLDLD
Independiente 59%Draw 24%Deportivo Riestra 17% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.60
65%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceIndependiente or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.32

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Independiente host Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT. Independiente sit 13th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Riestra are 28th on 23 (in the bottom three). A 24-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Independiente – form over the last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Deportivo Riestra – form over the last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Talleres Cordoba 0–3 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.

On form, Independiente have the edge: 1.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Independiente 1.4 – 0.6 Deportivo Riestra in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Independiente 59% · draw 24% · Deportivo Riestra 17%.
  • Safer play: Independiente or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.53.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Independiente 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Independiente59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
Deportivo Riestra17%fair 5.80 · @5.40
2.03Expected goals
1.43Independiente xG
0.60Deportivo Riestra xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Independiente 1.4 – 0.6 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente to win ✓59%1.701.75
Double chanceIndependiente or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.831.53
Draw no betIndependiente (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapDeportivo Riestra +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.651.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.531.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.081.05
First team to scoreIndependiente to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente / FT Independiente ✓34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.32–

Recent results

Independiente – last 6

DLDDLW
31 Oct@ Defensa Y Justicia1–1D
25 Octvs Boca Juniors0–1L
18 Oct@ Racing Club1–1D
12 Oct@ Talleres Cordoba0–0D
2 Octvs Instituto Cordoba1–4L
19 Sep@ Union Santa Fe2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Riestra – last 6

LLDLDD
31 Octvs Talleres Cordoba0–3L
27 Oct@ Instituto Cordoba0–1L
20 Octvs Union Santa Fe1–1D
11 Oct@ San Lorenzo0–1L
5 Octvs Central Cordoba de Santiago1–1D
19 Sep@ Gimnasia M.0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Independiente and Deportivo Riestra.

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub
FT Aldosivi0 River Plate2 18%7.50X23%3.75269%1.44 0.5–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Argentinos JRS0 Huracan2 162%1.93X21%3.20217%4.55 1.5–0.6xG 1XArgentinos JRS or draw 83%@1.22 ✗
FT Banfield2 Atletico Tucuman2 142%2.50X23%3.15235%3.00 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.23 ✗
FT Barracas Central2 Racing Club0 140%2.45X24%2.88236%3.00 1.1–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Boca Juniors1 Defensa Y Justicia0 169%1.38X23%4.3328%9.50 2.0–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗
FT Central Cordoba de Santiago1 Lanus1 114%5.25X25%3.50260%1.73 0.7–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Gimnasia M.1 Independ. Rivadavia1 138%2.77X24%3.15238%2.70 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Instituto Cordoba2 Newells Old Boys2 165%1.85X23%3.20212%4.75 1.6–0.5xG 1Instituto Cordoba to win 65%@1.85 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

On our numbers Independiente have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Riestra 17%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our predicted score is Independiente 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.