Thu 12 Nov

Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Alberto J. Armando
1–0
FT
Boca Juniors 69%Draw 23%Defensa Y Justicia 8% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.61
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓69% · @1.38
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Boca Juniors host Defensa Y Justicia in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT at Estadio Alberto J. Armando. Boca Juniors sit 1st with 63 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Defensa Y Justicia are 14th on 47 (in the top half). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Boca Juniors – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat River Plate 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 0.8 per game.

Defensa Y Justicia – form over the last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Independiente 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 Apr 2026, finished Defensa Y Justicia 0–4 Boca Juniors.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Boca Juniors 2.0 – 0.6 Defensa Y Justicia in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Boca Juniors 69% · draw 23% · Defensa Y Justicia 8%.
  • Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.80.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Boca Juniors 2–0 Defensa Y Justicia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Boca Juniors69%fair 1.46 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.33
Defensa Y Justicia8%fair 12.24 · @9.50
2.62Expected goals
2.02Boca Juniors xG
0.61Defensa Y Justicia xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Boca Juniors 2.0 – 0.6 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors to win ✓69%1.461.38
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓92%1.091.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.80
Draw no betBoca Juniors (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapBoca Juniors -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.14
First team to scoreBoca Juniors to score first ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultBoca Juniors ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors ✗46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Boca Juniors – last 6

WWWWLD
1 Novvs River Plate1–0W
25 Oct@ Independiente1–0W
21 Oct@ Vasco DA Gama3–1W
17 Octvs Talleres Cordoba2–1W
14 Octvs Vasco DA Gama0–1L
9 Oct@ Instituto Cordoba2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Defensa Y Justicia – last 6

DWLWWD
31 Octvs Independiente1–1D
24 Oct@ Talleres Cordoba2–1W
16 Octvs Instituto Cordoba0–1L
10 Oct@ Union Santa Fe2–0W
3 Octvs San Lorenzo3–0W
18 Sep@ Central Cordoba de Santiago2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Defensa Y Justicia v Boca Juniors0–4
Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Defensa Y Justicia 8%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 2–0 Defensa Y Justicia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto J. Armando.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.