Wed 11 Nov

San Lorenzo v Platense: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Pedro Bidegain
0–2
FT
San Lorenzo 39%Draw 25%Platense 36% Expected goals 1.01 – 0.96
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: Platense to win @ 3.05 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✗39% · @2.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.61

San Lorenzo vs Platense prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is San Lorenzo v Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina – Sunday 8 November, 22:00 WAT, Estadio Pedro Bidegain. San Lorenzo sit 18th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Platense are 24th on 36 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

San Lorenzo – form over the last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Velez Sarsfield 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Platense – form over the last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Platense 0–1 San Lorenzo.

Goals outlook

Our model projects San Lorenzo 1.0 – 1.0 Platense in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: San Lorenzo 39% · draw 25% · Platense 36%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
  • Value angle: Platense to win at 3.05 – we make it 36%, the price implies 33%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: San Lorenzo 1–0 Platense. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

San Lorenzo39%fair 2.58 · @2.67
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.85
Platense36%fair 2.79 · @3.05
1.97Expected goals
1.01San Lorenzo xG
0.96Platense xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: San Lorenzo 1.0 – 1.0 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Lorenzo to win ✗39%2.582.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.15 ▲
Draw no betSan Lorenzo (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapPlatense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.691.60
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.191.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.05
First team to scoreSan Lorenzo to score first ✗44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.61–

Recent results

San Lorenzo – last 6

DDWWLL
31 Oct@ Velez Sarsfield2–2D
24 Octvs Newells Old Boys0–0D
18 Oct@ Estudiantes L.P.2–1W
11 Octvs Deportivo Riestra1–0W
3 Oct@ Defensa Y Justicia0–3L
20 Sepvs Boca Juniors0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Platense – last 6

WDWLDD
2 Novvs Central Cordoba de Santiago2–0W
29 Oct@ Atletico Tucuman1–1D
23 Oct@ Gimnasia M.2–1W
17 Octvs Lanus0–1L
11 Octvs Argentinos JRS1–1D
5 Oct@ Velez Sarsfield2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Platense v San Lorenzo0–1
San Lorenzo vs Platense head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Platense?

On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Platense 36%.

How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Platense?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 1–0 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Lorenzo vs Platense?

San Lorenzo vs Platense (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.