Value bet: Caninde to win @ 2.83 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMaruinense to win43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.80
Maruinense vs Caninde prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Maruinense v Caninde in the Sergipano 2 – Saturday 14 November, 22:00 WAT. Maruinense sit 2nd with 10 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Caninde are 1st on 10 (top of the table). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Maruinense – form over the last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Independente Simão Dias 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.
Caninde – form over the last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Socorrense 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.4 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Maruinense 1.6 – 1.6 Caninde in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for over 2.5 goals, 56% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Maruinense 43% · draw 17% · Caninde 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Caninde to win at 2.83 – we make it 41%, the price implies 35%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Maruinense 1–1 Caninde. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Maruinense43%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @3.55
Caninde41%fair 2.45 · @2.83
3.16Expected goals
1.60Maruinense xG
1.56Caninde xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Maruinense 1.6 – 1.6 Caninde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maruinense to win
43%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
83%
1.20
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.50
Draw no bet
Maruinense (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Caninde +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.68
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.14
First team to score
Maruinense to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maruinense / FT Maruinense
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.80
–
Recent results
Maruinense – last 4
DWLW
11 Nov
vs Independente Simão Dias
1–1
D
4 Nov
vs Socorro Sport
3–1
W
1 Nov
@ Estanciano
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Frei Paulistano
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Caninde – last 5
WWLDW
10 Nov
vs Socorrense
2–1
W
7 Nov
@ Flamengo SE
1–0
W
3 Nov
@ Carmópolis
0–3
L
31 Oct
vs Olímpico SE
3–3
D
28 Oct
@ América de Pedrinhas
6–1
W
2.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maruinense and Caninde.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Maruinense vs Caninde?
On our numbers Maruinense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Caninde 41%.
How many goals will there be in Maruinense vs Caninde?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maruinense vs Caninde?
Our predicted score is Maruinense 1–1 Caninde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Maruinense vs Caninde?
Maruinense vs Caninde (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
