Carmópolis v Frei Paulistano: numbers & prediction

Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Carmópolis host Frei Paulistano in the Sergipano 2 on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT. Carmópolis sit 2nd with 9 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Frei Paulistano are 1st on 12 (top of the table). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Carmópolis – form over the last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Olímpico SE 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.8 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Frei Paulistano – form over the last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Independente Simão Dias 6–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 3.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Carmópolis 1.7 – 1.6 Frei Paulistano in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Carmópolis 45% · draw 17% · Frei Paulistano 38%.
• Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.51.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 61% confidence at odds of 1.61. Predicted score: Carmópolis 2–1 Frei Paulistano. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.