Sat 14 Nov

CSKA Moscow v Arsenal Tula: numbers & prediction

4–1
FT
CSKA Moscow 65%Draw 19%Arsenal Tula 16% Expected goals 2.34 – 1.09
63%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

CSKA Moscow host Arsenal Tula in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT.

Form guide

CSKA Moscow – form over the last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to FC Krasnodar 2–4 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Arsenal Tula – form over the last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Chelyabinsk 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.7 per game.

On form, CSKA Moscow have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 4 Oct 2026, finished CSKA Moscow 3–1 Arsenal Tula. Across the last 2 meetings CSKA Moscow have won 1, Arsenal Tula 0, with 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects CSKA Moscow 2.3 – 1.1 Arsenal Tula in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 63% for over 2.5 goals, 55% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: CSKA Moscow 65% · draw 19% · Arsenal Tula 16%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.87.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 2–1 Arsenal Tula. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

CSKA Moscow65%fair 1.53 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.80
Arsenal Tula16%fair 6.14 · @8.70
3.44Expected goals
2.34CSKA Moscow xG
1.09Arsenal Tula xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 2.3 – 1.1 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Moscow to win ✓65%1.531.33
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw ✓84%1.191.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.87
Draw no betCSKA Moscow (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapCSKA Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.601.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.711.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.311.15
First team to scoreCSKA Moscow to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultCSKA Moscow ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

CSKA Moscow – last 6

LDWWLW
7 Nov@ FC Krasnodar2–4L
1 Nov@ FC Orenburg0–0D
29 Octvs Lokomotiv3–1W
25 Octvs Spartak Moscow2–0W
18 Oct@ Dynamo1–3L
14 Octvs FC Rostov4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tula – last 6

LLWLWL
7 Novvs Chelyabinsk1–2L
30 Oct@ Nizhny Novgorod0–4L
24 Octvs KAMAZ4–3W
17 Oct@ FC UFA0–2L
9 Octvs Spartak Kostroma3–2W
4 Oct@ CSKA Moscow1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Oct 2026CSKA Moscow v Arsenal Tula3–1
4 Jul 2026CSKA Moscow v Arsenal Tula1–1
CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arsenal Tula 16%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 2–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.