Sat 14 Nov

Legia Warszawa v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Legia Warszawa

LDLDW
4–2
FT

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

LLLLW
Legia Warszawa 64%Draw 14%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 22% Expected goals 2.14 – 1.09
64%
ZoraTips pick

Legia Warszawa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.74 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.74Odds

Picks by market

ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓64% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.49
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Friendlies Clubs action on Saturday 14 November: Legia Warszawa take on Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki from 11:30 WAT.

Form guide

Legia Warszawa – form over the last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Raków Częstochowa 2–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Pogoń Siedlce 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They score 1.2 and concede 2.2 per game.

On form, Legia Warszawa have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 18 Jul 2026, finished Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Legia Warszawa 64% · draw 14% · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 22%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.49.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Legia Warszawa to win, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.74, above our fair price of 1.55, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Legia Warszawa64%fair 1.55 · @1.74
Draw14%fair 7.17 · @3.93
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki22%fair 4.64 · @3.54
3.23Expected goals
2.14Legia Warszawa xG
1.09Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLegia Warszawa to win ✓64%1.551.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.49
Draw no betLegia Warszawa (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapLegia Warszawa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.661.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
First team to scoreLegia Warszawa to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultLegia Warszawa ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Legia Warszawa – last 6

LDLDWW
8 Novvs Raków Częstochowa2–4L
30 Oct@ Gornik Zabrze0–0D
25 Octvs Lech Poznan1–2L
17 Oct@ Cracovia Krakow1–1D
11 Octvs Wisla Krakow2–0W
20 Sep@ Jagiellonia3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6

LLLLWL
8 Nov@ Pogoń Siedlce1–2L
30 Octvs Stal Mielec0–1L
25 Oct@ Ruch Chorzów0–2L
17 Octvs Polonia Warszawa0–1L
10 Oct@ Chrobry Głogów4–0W
2 Oct@ Radomiak Radom2–7L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Legia Warszawa v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–1
Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Legia Warszawa to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 22%.

How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.