Value bet: Bouchamma to win @ 3.42 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultEGS Gafsa to win44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.78
EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is EGS Gafsa v Bouchamma in the Ligue 2 – Sunday 15 November, 14:30 WAT. EGS Gafsa sit 19th with 7 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Bouchamma are 6th on 13 (in the top half).
Form guide
EGS Gafsa – form over the last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Ariana 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.
Bouchamma – form over the last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Ksour Essef 0–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
On form, Bouchamma have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model projects EGS Gafsa 1.3 – 1.1 Bouchamma in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 42% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: EGS Gafsa 44% · draw 23% · Bouchamma 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Bouchamma to win at 3.42 – we make it 33%, the price implies 29%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: EGS Gafsa 1–1 Bouchamma. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
EGS Gafsa44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.04
Bouchamma33%fair 3.01 · @3.42
2.39Expected goals
1.31EGS Gafsa xG
1.08Bouchamma xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: EGS Gafsa 1.3 – 1.1 Bouchamma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EGS Gafsa to win
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.91
Draw no bet
EGS Gafsa (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Bouchamma +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
EGS Gafsa to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EGS Gafsa / FT EGS Gafsa
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
EGS Gafsa – last 6
WLWLLL
1 Nov
vs Ariana
1–0
W
27 Oct
@ JS Kairouanaise
0–1
L
19 Oct
vs CO Medenine
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Olympique du Kef
2–3
L
4 Oct
@ Korba
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs AS Kasserine
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bouchamma – last 6
LWDWLW
1 Nov
@ Ksour Essef
0–3
L
26 Oct
vs Kalaâ Sport
1–0
W
19 Oct
@ Jendouba Sport
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Stade Gabesien
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Redeyef
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Korba
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EGS Gafsa and Bouchamma.
What is the prediction for EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?
On our numbers EGS Gafsa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bouchamma 33%.
How many goals will there be in EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?
Our predicted score is EGS Gafsa 1–1 Bouchamma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?
EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
