Sat 14 Nov

Ksour Essef v Stade Gabesien: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Ksour Essef 43%Draw 24%Stade Gabesien 33% Expected goals 1.01 – 0.82
69%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.37

7/10Rating
1.37Odds

Picks by market

ResultKsour Essef to win43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.16

Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Ligue 2 action on Sunday 15 November: Ksour Essef take on Stade Gabesien from 14:30 WAT. Ksour Essef sit 3rd with 14 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Stade Gabesien are 17th on 8 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Ksour Essef – form over the last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Bouchamma 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Stade Gabesien – form over the last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Jendouba Sport 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Ksour Essef have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ksour Essef 1.0 – 0.8 Stade Gabesien in expected goals – roughly 1.8 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ksour Essef 43% · draw 24% · Stade Gabesien 33%.
  • Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Ksour Essef 1–0 Stade Gabesien. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ksour Essef43%fair 2.32 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.80
Stade Gabesien33%fair 3.05 · @3.18
1.82Expected goals
1.01Ksour Essef xG
0.82Stade Gabesien xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ksour Essef 1.0 – 0.8 Stade Gabesien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKsour Essef to win43%2.322.22
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.321.31
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.921.55
Draw no betKsour Essef (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapStade Gabesien +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals57%1.761.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals69%1.441.37
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals86%1.161.08
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals96%1.04–
First team to scoreKsour Essef to score first46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.16–

Recent results

Ksour Essef – last 6

WWDWWD
1 Novvs Bouchamma3–0W
27 Oct@ Moknine2–1W
19 Octvs Ariana0–0D
11 Oct@ JS Kairouanaise1–0W
4 Octvs CO Medenine1–0W
27 Sep@ Olympique du Kef0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Stade Gabesien – last 6

DDWLDD
1 Nov@ Jendouba Sport0–0D
27 Octvs Korba2–2D
19 Octvs Redeyef1–0W
11 Oct@ Bouchamma1–2L
4 Octvs Moknine0–0D
27 Sep@ Ariana1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ksour Essef and Stade Gabesien.

Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

On our numbers Ksour Essef have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stade Gabesien 33%.

How many goals will there be in Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

Our predicted score is Ksour Essef 1–0 Stade Gabesien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.