Sat 14 Nov

ASFA-Yennenga v Sporting Cascades: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Burkina-Faso · Stade du 4 Aout
3–0
FT
ASFA-Yennenga 45%Draw 24%Sporting Cascades 30% Expected goals 1.19 – 0.90
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.31 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.31Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.44 – our chance 51% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultASFA-Yennenga to win ✓45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.07
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.71

ASFA-Yennenga vs Sporting Cascades prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

ASFA-Yennenga host Sporting Cascades in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:30 WAT at Stade du 4 Aout. ASFA-Yennenga sit 8th with 14 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Sporting Cascades are 9th on 11 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

ASFA-Yennenga – form over the last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with CFFEB 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.7 per game.

Sporting Cascades – form over the last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Maya 4–1 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, ASFA-Yennenga have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 17 Apr 2026, finished ASFA-Yennenga 1–1 Sporting Cascades.

Goals outlook

Our model projects ASFA-Yennenga 1.2 – 0.9 Sporting Cascades in expected goals – roughly 2.1 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: ASFA-Yennenga 45% · draw 24% · Sporting Cascades 30%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.44.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.44 – we make it 51%, the price implies 41%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: ASFA-Yennenga 1–0 Sporting Cascades. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

ASFA-Yennenga45%fair 2.21 · @1.96
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.75
Sporting Cascades30%fair 3.29 · @4.05
2.09Expected goals
1.19ASFA-Yennenga xG
0.90Sporting Cascades xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: ASFA-Yennenga 1.2 – 0.9 Sporting Cascades expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultASFA-Yennenga to win ✓45%2.211.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.972.44 ▲
Draw no betASFA-Yennenga (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapSporting Cascades +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.711.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.31
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.181.07
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreASFA-Yennenga to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT ASFA-Yennenga / FT ASFA-Yennenga ✓24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.71–

Recent results

ASFA-Yennenga – last 6

DWWLWD
24 Oct@ CFFEB1–1D
12 Oct@ USFA2–1W
3 Octvs ASFB2–0W
28 Sep@ Vitesse0–1L
19 Sepvs Comoé1–0W
17 Aprvs Sporting Cascades1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sporting Cascades – last 6

WLLWDD
24 Octvs Maya4–1W
10 Octvs SONABEL0–3L
4 Octvs FocuSport2–3L
27 Sep@ Douanes1–0W
19 Sepvs CFFEB0–0D
17 Apr@ ASFA-Yennenga1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026ASFA-Yennenga v Sporting Cascades1–1
ASFA-Yennenga vs Sporting Cascades head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo8611+919
2USFA8521+717
3Douanes8512+616
4Vitesse8431+415
5FocuSport8503015
6Réal du Faso8422+414
7CFFEB8422+714
8ASFA-Yennenga8422+314
9Sporting Cascades8323-111
10ASFB8323-111
11Majestic8215-57
12SONABEL821507
13Maya8134-56
14RCK8125-105
15Comoé8116-74
16Salitas8116-114

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ASFA-Yennenga vs Sporting Cascades?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win ASFA-Yennenga vs Sporting Cascades?

On our numbers ASFA-Yennenga have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting Cascades 30%.

How many goals will there be in ASFA-Yennenga vs Sporting Cascades?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ASFA-Yennenga vs Sporting Cascades?

Our predicted score is ASFA-Yennenga 1–0 Sporting Cascades, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is ASFA-Yennenga vs Sporting Cascades?

ASFA-Yennenga vs Sporting Cascades (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 4 Aout.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.