Sat 14 Nov

ASFB v Réal du Faso: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Burkina-Faso

ASFB

LLLWD
Sat 14 Nov 2026
ASFB 32%Draw 20%Réal du Faso 48% Expected goals 0.87 – 1.17
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.35

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: Réal du Faso to win @ 2.79 – our chance 48% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultRéal du Faso to win48% · @2.79
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.59

ASFB vs Réal du Faso prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is ASFB v Réal du Faso in the Ligue 1 – Saturday 14 November, 16:30 WAT. ASFB sit 10th with 11 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Réal du Faso are 6th on 14 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

ASFB – form over the last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Vitesse 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

Réal du Faso – form over the last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Majestic 1–1 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.0 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects ASFB 0.9 – 1.2 Réal du Faso in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 67% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more probable outcome.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: ASFB 32% · draw 20% · Réal du Faso 48%.
  • Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.55.
  • Value angle: Réal du Faso to win at 2.79 – we make it 48%, the price implies 36%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Under 2.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: ASFB 0–1 Réal du Faso. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

ASFB32%fair 3.09 · @2.59
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @2.65
Réal du Faso48%fair 2.10 · @2.79
2.04Expected goals
0.87ASFB xG
1.17Réal du Faso xG
42%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: ASFB 0.9 – 1.2 Réal du Faso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRéal du Faso to win48%2.102.79 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.251.35 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score58%1.721.55
Draw no betRéal du Faso (draw no bet)60%1.68–
Asian handicapASFB +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals59%1.691.58
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals67%1.501.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals84%1.191.09
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals94%1.06–
First team to scoreRéal du Faso to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Réal du Faso / FT Réal du Faso24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115%6.59–

Recent results

ASFB – last 6

LLLWDL
25 Octvs Vitesse0–2L
9 Octvs Majestic0–1L
3 Oct@ ASFA-Yennenga0–2L
27 Sepvs RCK1–0W
20 Sep@ Salitas2–2D
3 Aprvs ASFA-Yennenga0–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Réal du Faso – last 6

DLWDLD
25 Octvs Majestic1–1D
12 Octvs RCK0–1L
2 Oct@ Salitas3–1W
26 Sepvs Maya1–1D
20 Sep@ Rahimo1–2L
3 Aprvs RC Bobo-Dioulasso0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ASFB and Réal du Faso.

ASFB vs Réal du Faso head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo8611+919
2USFA8521+717
3Douanes8512+616
4Vitesse8431+415
5FocuSport8503015
6Réal du Faso8422+414
7CFFEB8422+714
8ASFA-Yennenga8422+314
9Sporting Cascades8323-111
10ASFB8323-111
11Majestic8215-57
12SONABEL821507
13Maya8134-56
14RCK8125-105
15Comoé8116-74
16Salitas8116-114

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ASFB vs Réal du Faso?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win ASFB vs Réal du Faso?

On our numbers ASFB have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Réal du Faso 48%.

How many goals will there be in ASFB vs Réal du Faso?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ASFB vs Réal du Faso?

Our predicted score is ASFB 0–1 Réal du Faso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is ASFB vs Réal du Faso?

ASFB vs Réal du Faso (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.