Wed 11 Nov

Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Heart Health Park
Sacramento Republic 60%Draw 23%El Paso Locomotive 17% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.84
74%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.31

Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

USL Championship action on Sunday 8 November: Sacramento Republic take on El Paso Locomotive at Heart Health Park from 04:00 WAT. Sacramento Republic sit 2nd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while El Paso Locomotive are 3rd on 50 (in the top four). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Sacramento Republic – form over the last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat FC Tulsa 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game.

El Paso Locomotive – form over the last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat San Antonio 2–1 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Sacramento Republic have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 18 Oct 2026, finished El Paso Locomotive 0–1 Sacramento Republic. Across the last 2 meetings Sacramento Republic have won 1, El Paso Locomotive 1, with 0 draws, averaging 2.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Sacramento Republic 1.8 – 0.8 El Paso Locomotive in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Sacramento Republic 60% · draw 23% · El Paso Locomotive 17%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sacramento Republic 2–0 El Paso Locomotive. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Sacramento Republic60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
El Paso Locomotive17%fair 5.92 · @4.50
2.63Expected goals
1.79Sacramento Republic xG
0.84El Paso Locomotive xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.8 – 0.8 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✓60%1.671.62
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓83%1.201.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.941.83
Draw no betSacramento Republic (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapSacramento Republic -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
First team to scoreSacramento Republic to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultSacramento Republic ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.31–

Recent results

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WWWDDW
2 Novvs FC Tulsa1–0W
25 Octvs Oakland Roots3–2W
18 Oct@ El Paso Locomotive1–0W
11 Octvs Colorado Springs1–1D
4 Oct@ FC Tulsa1–1D
1 Octvs Las Vegas Lights3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

El Paso Locomotive – last 6

WLLWLD
31 Octvs San Antonio2–1W
25 Octvs New Mexico United0–1L
18 Octvs Sacramento Republic0–1L
11 Octvs Orange County SC2–1W
4 Oct@ Lexington1–3L
26 Sepvs FC Tulsa1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Oct 2026El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic0–1
29 Mar 2026Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive1–2
Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and El Paso Locomotive 17%.

How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 2–0 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.