Wed 11 Nov

Louisville City v Miami FC: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Lynn Family Stadium
3–2
FT
Louisville City 60%Draw 21%Miami FC 18% Expected goals 2.04 – 1.03
60%
ZoraTips pick

Louisville City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultLouisville City to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Louisville City vs Miami FC prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

USL Championship action on Sunday 8 November: Louisville City take on Miami FC at Lynn Family Stadium from 01:00 WAT. Louisville City sit 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Miami FC are 8th on 36 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Louisville City – form over the last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 0.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Miami FC – form over the last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game.

On form, Louisville City have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Miami FC 4–3 Louisville City.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Louisville City 2.0 – 1.0 Miami FC in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for over 2.5 goals, 61% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Louisville City 60% · draw 21% · Miami FC 18%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Louisville City to win, rated at 60% confidence at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Louisville City 2–1 Miami FC. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Louisville City60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Miami FC18%fair 5.46 · @4.75
3.07Expected goals
2.04Louisville City xG
1.03Miami FC xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Louisville City 2.0 – 1.0 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✓60%1.661.62
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.67
Draw no betLouisville City (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapLouisville City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.271.22
First team to scoreLouisville City to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultLouisville City ahead at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Louisville City – last 6

DDWWWW
30 Octvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0D
25 Octvs Detroit City0–0D
22 Oct@ Sporting JAX2–0W
18 Octvs Indy Eleven4–1W
10 Oct@ Charleston Battery2–0W
4 Oct@ Hartford Athletic1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Miami FC – last 6

DLLWWW
31 Oct@ Tampa Bay Rowdies1–1D
18 Octvs Charleston Battery1–2L
11 Octvs Loudoun United0–2L
4 Oct@ Tampa Bay Rowdies2–1W
1 Octvs Sporting JAX4–1W
27 Sep@ Indy Eleven2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Miami FC v Louisville City4–3
Louisville City vs Miami FC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Our pick is Louisville City to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Louisville City vs Miami FC?

On our numbers Louisville City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Miami FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Miami FC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Our predicted score is Louisville City 2–1 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Louisville City vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.