Wed 11 Nov

Popayan v Envigado: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia

Popayan

DWLLL
1–0
FT
Popayan 29%Draw 24%Envigado 47% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.36
66%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEnvigado to win ✗47% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Popayan vs Envigado prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Popayan host Envigado in the Primera B on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT. Popayan sit 2nd with 7 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Envigado are 1st on 7 (top of the table). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Popayan – form over the last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Union Magdalena 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Envigado – form over the last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Ind. Yumbo 2–0 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Envigado have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 6 Sep 2026, finished Popayan 2–2 Envigado. Across the last 2 meetings Popayan have won 0s, Envigado 1, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Popayan 1.0 – 1.4 Envigado in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 41% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Popayan 29% · draw 24% · Envigado 47%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.97.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.97 – we make it 54%, the price implies 51%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Popayan 1–1 Envigado. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Popayan29%fair 3.47 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.91
Envigado47%fair 2.11 · @2.12
2.33Expected goals
0.97Popayan xG
1.36Envigado xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%

From our goals model: Popayan 1.0 – 1.4 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEnvigado to win ✗47%2.112.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.97 ▲
Draw no betEnvigado (draw no bet) ✗62%1.61–
Asian handicapPopayan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.01
First team to scoreEnvigado to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Envigado / FT Envigado ✗27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

Popayan – last 6

DWLLLD
29 Octvs Union Magdalena1–1D
24 Octvs Internacional Palmira2–1W
20 Oct@ Ind. Yumbo0–3L
16 Octvs Depor FC0–1L
12 Oct@ Orsomarso0–1L
7 Octvs Union Magdalena1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Envigado – last 6

WWWDDD
29 Octvs Ind. Yumbo2–0W
24 Oct@ Patriotas2–0W
20 Octvs Barranquilla1–0W
15 Octvs Real Santander1–1D
11 Octvs Internacional Palmira1–1D
5 Oct@ Bogota FC3–3D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Popayan v Envigado2–2
5 Mar 2026Envigado v Popayan1–0
Popayan vs Envigado head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Popayan vs Envigado?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Popayan vs Envigado?

On our numbers Popayan have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Envigado 47%.

How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Envigado?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Envigado?

Our predicted score is Popayan 1–1 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Popayan vs Envigado?

Popayan vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.