Wed 11 Nov

Union Magdalena v Ind. Yumbo: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Sierra Nevada
1–1
FT
Union Magdalena 61%Draw 21%Ind. Yumbo 18% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.76
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗61% · @1.47
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓82% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69

Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Union Magdalena host Ind. Yumbo in the Primera B on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 01:00 WAT at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Union Magdalena sit 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Ind. Yumbo are 4th on 2 (in the top four). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Union Magdalena – form over the last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Popayan 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.8 per game.

Ind. Yumbo – form over the last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Envigado 0–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 15 Oct 2026, finished Union Magdalena 1–1 Ind. Yumbo. Across the last 2 meetings Union Magdalena have won 1, Ind. Yumbo 0, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.8 Ind. Yumbo in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Union Magdalena 61% · draw 21% · Ind. Yumbo 18%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Ind. Yumbo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Union Magdalena61%fair 1.64 · @1.47
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.74
Ind. Yumbo18%fair 5.52 · @5.85
2.44Expected goals
1.68Union Magdalena xG
0.76Ind. Yumbo xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.8 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Magdalena to win ✗61%1.641.47
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓82%1.221.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.93
Draw no betUnion Magdalena (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapInd. Yumbo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
First team to scoreUnion Magdalena to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.69–

Recent results

Union Magdalena – last 6

DWWDDD
29 Oct@ Popayan1–1D
24 Octvs Depor FC1–0W
19 Oct@ Internacional Palmira1–0W
15 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–1D
11 Octvs Leones FC2–2D
7 Oct@ Popayan1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ind. Yumbo – last 6

LLWDDW
29 Oct@ Envigado0–2L
24 Oct@ Real Cundinamarca0–1L
20 Octvs Popayan3–0W
15 Oct@ Union Magdalena1–1D
8 Octvs Tigres FC1–1D
3 Oct@ Patriotas1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Oct 2026Union Magdalena v Ind. Yumbo1–1
30 Mar 2026Ind. Yumbo v Union Magdalena0–2
Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?

On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ind. Yumbo 18%.

How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?

Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?

Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.