Thu 12 Nov

Monarcas v Venados FC: numbers & prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Morelos
2–1
FT
Monarcas 63%Draw 21%Venados FC 17% Expected goals 2.13 – 1.00
63%
ZoraTips pick

Monarcas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonarcas to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08

Monarcas vs Venados FC prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Monarcas v Venados FC in the Liga De Expansión MX – Sunday 8 November, 02:00 WAT, Estadio Morelos. Monarcas sit 3rd with 26 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Venados FC are 6th on 25 (in the top half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Monarcas – form over the last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Durango 1–3 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Venados FC – form over the last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Correcaminos Uat 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

On form, Venados FC have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 27 Sep 2026, finished Venados FC 2–1 Monarcas. Across the last 2 meetings Monarcas have won 1, Venados FC 1, with 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Monarcas 2.1 – 1.0 Venados FC in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Monarcas 63% · draw 21% · Venados FC 17%.
  • Safer play: Monarcas or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Monarcas to win, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.60, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Monarcas 2–1 Venados FC. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Monarcas63%fair 1.60 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.94
Venados FC17%fair 6.06 · @4.58
3.13Expected goals
2.13Monarcas xG
1.00Venados FC xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Monarcas 2.1 – 1.0 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonarcas to win ✓63%1.601.65
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✓83%1.201.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.65
Draw no betMonarcas (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapMonarcas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.12
First team to scoreMonarcas to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultMonarcas ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monarcas / FT Monarcas ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.08–

Recent results

Monarcas – last 6

LWLDDL
1 Nov@ Durango1–3L
26 Oct@ Tapatío2–1W
18 Octvs CDS Tampico Madero1–2L
10 Oct@ Tepatitlán1–1D
4 Octvs Tlaxcala1–1D
27 Sep@ Venados FC1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Venados FC – last 6

DWDDWW
31 Oct@ Correcaminos Uat0–0D
25 Octvs Durango3–2W
18 Oct@ Cancún1–1D
11 Octvs Leones Negros UDG1–1D
3 Oct@ CA La Paz2–1W
27 Sepvs Monarcas2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Sep 2026Venados FC v Monarcas2–1
15 Feb 2026Monarcas v Venados FC2–1
Monarcas vs Venados FC head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Venados FC?

Our pick is Monarcas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Monarcas vs Venados FC?

On our numbers Monarcas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Venados FC 17%.

How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Venados FC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Venados FC?

Our predicted score is Monarcas 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Monarcas vs Venados FC?

Monarcas vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.