Wed 11 Nov

CA La Paz v Tlaxcala: numbers & prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Guaycura
3–3
FT
CA La Paz 62%Draw 19%Tlaxcala 19% Expected goals 2.34 – 1.24
62%
ZoraTips pick

CA La Paz to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.56 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.56Odds

Picks by market

ResultCA La Paz to win ✗62% · @1.56
Double chanceCA La Paz or draw ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Liga De Expansión MX action on Sunday 8 November: CA La Paz take on Tlaxcala at Estadio Guaycura from 04:05 WAT. CA La Paz sit 1st with 30 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Tlaxcala are 8th on 22 (in the top half).

Form guide

CA La Paz – form over the last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Tlaxcala 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Tlaxcala – form over the last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to CA La Paz 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.0 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 5 Nov 2026, finished Tlaxcala 0–1 CA La Paz. Across the last 3 meetings CA La Paz have won 2s, Tlaxcala 0, with 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects CA La Paz 2.3 – 1.2 Tlaxcala in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 69% for over 2.5 goals, 65% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: CA La Paz 62% · draw 19% · Tlaxcala 19%.
  • Safer play: CA La Paz or draw (81%) at 1.16.
  • Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked CA La Paz to win, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.56. Predicted score: CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

CA La Paz62%fair 1.61 · @1.56
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.45
Tlaxcala19%fair 5.29 · @4.55
3.58Expected goals
2.34CA La Paz xG
1.24Tlaxcala xG
65%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.3 – 1.2 Tlaxcala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCA La Paz to win ✗62%1.611.56
Double chanceCA La Paz or draw ✓81%1.231.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.551.42
Draw no betCA La Paz (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapCA La Paz -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.421.30
First team to scoreCA La Paz to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultCA La Paz ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz ✗41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

CA La Paz – last 6

WWWDWL
5 Nov@ Tlaxcala1–0W
31 Octvs Dorados3–0W
25 Oct@ CDS Tampico Madero3–1W
17 Octvs Tlaxcala2–2D
10 Oct@ Tapatío4–2W
3 Octvs Venados FC1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tlaxcala – last 6

LWWDWD
5 Novvs CA La Paz0–1L
31 Oct@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–0W
25 Octvs Correcaminos Uat2–0W
17 Oct@ CA La Paz2–2D
10 Octvs Piratas4–2W
4 Oct@ Monarcas1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Nov 2026Tlaxcala v CA La Paz0–1
17 Oct 2026CA La Paz v Tlaxcala2–2
8 Mar 2026CA La Paz v Tlaxcala2–0
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Our pick is CA La Paz to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.

Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

On our numbers CA La Paz have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tlaxcala 19%.

How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.