Sat 14 Nov

Colwyn Bay v Aberystwyth Town: numbers & prediction

Welsh Cup · Wales · Llanelian Road
2–0
90'
Colwyn Bay 72%Draw 16%Aberystwyth Town 12% Expected goals 3.06 – 1.29
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.37

8/10Rating
1.37Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 63% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultColwyn Bay to win72% · @1.12
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.99
GoalsOver 2.5 goals73% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18% · fair 12.59

Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Welsh Cup action on Saturday 14 November: Colwyn Bay take on Aberystwyth Town at Llanelian Road from 15:00 WAT.

Form guide

Colwyn Bay – form over the last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Trefelin 2–1 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

Aberystwyth Town – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Carmarthen Town 4–0 on the road. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Colwyn Bay 3.1 – 1.3 Aberystwyth Town in expected goals – roughly 4.4 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 73% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Colwyn Bay 72% · draw 16% · Aberystwyth Town 12%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.99.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.99 – we make it 63%, the price implies 50%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Colwyn Bay 3–1 Aberystwyth Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Colwyn Bay72%fair 1.39 · @1.12
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @6.40
Aberystwyth Town12%fair 8.17 · @13.50
4.35Expected goals
3.06Colwyn Bay xG
1.29Aberystwyth Town xG
63%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–18%
3–06%
4–16%
2–06%
3–25%

From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 3.1 – 1.3 Aberystwyth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColwyn Bay to win72%1.391.12
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw88%1.141.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.591.99 ▲
Draw no betColwyn Bay (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapColwyn Bay -1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals89%1.131.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals73%1.361.37
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals55%1.831.98 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals63%1.581.28
First team to scoreColwyn Bay to score first69%1.44–
Half-time resultColwyn Bay ahead at half-time56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay51%1.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18%12.59–

Recent results

Colwyn Bay – last 6

WWDDWL
6 Nov@ Trefelin2–1W
30 Octvs Cambrian & Clydach2–0W
23 Octvs Cardiff MET2–2D
17 Oct@ Buckley Town2–2D
10 Oct@ Flint Town United1–0W
3 Oct@ Briton Ferry0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aberystwyth Town – last 6

WWWLWD
7 Nov@ Carmarthen Town4–0W
31 Octvs Trethomas Bluebirds2–1W
17 Octvs Prestatyn Town5–1W
10 Octvs Caerau (Ely)0–1L
3 Oct@ Pontypridd Town3–1W
25 Sepvs Swansea University0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and Aberystwyth Town.

Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town head-to-head page →

More Welsh Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Aberystwyth Town 12%.

How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 3–1 Aberystwyth Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town (Welsh Cup) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.