Wed 11 Nov

Haiti v USA: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America

Haiti

LWWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

USA

WWWWL
Haiti 17%Draw 16%USA 67% Expected goals 1.01 – 2.28
67%
ZoraTips pick

USA to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.20

6/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultUSA to win67% · @1.20
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.22

Haiti vs USA prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Haiti v USA in the CONCACAF Nations League – Saturday 14 November, 22:30 WAT.

Form guide

Haiti – form over the last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Costa Rica 0–2 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 2.0 per game.

USA – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Canada 1–0 at home. They are averaging 2.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, USA have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Haiti 1.0 – 2.3 USA in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Haiti 17% · draw 16% · USA 67%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – we make it 56%, the price implies 51%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: USA to win, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Haiti 1–2 USA. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Haiti17%fair 6.00 · @10.40
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @5.48
USA67%fair 1.49 · @1.20
3.28Expected goals
1.01Haiti xG
2.28USA xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Haiti 1.0 – 2.3 USA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUSA to win67%1.491.20
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.95 ▲
Draw no betUSA (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapUSA -0.5 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.621.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals61%1.651.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.31–
First team to scoreUSA to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultUSA ahead at half-time49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT USA / FT USA43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.22–

Recent results

Haiti – last 6

LWWWLL
5 Oct@ Costa Rica0–2L
2 Oct@ Dominican Republic4–1W
28 Sepvs Costa Rica2–0W
25 Sepvs Trinidad and Tobago3–2W
24 Jun@ Morocco2–4L
20 Jun@ Brazil0–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

USA – last 6

WWWWLW
7 Octvs Canada1–0W
4 Octvs Mexico3–0W
30 Sepvs Chile4–2W
26 Sepvs Peru4–1W
7 Julvs Belgium1–4L
2 Julvs Bosnia & Herzegovina2–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Haiti and USA.

Haiti vs USA head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Haiti vs USA?

Our pick is USA to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Haiti vs USA?

On our numbers Haiti have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 16% and USA 67%.

How many goals will there be in Haiti vs USA?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Haiti vs USA?

Our predicted score is Haiti 1–2 USA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Haiti vs USA?

Haiti vs USA (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.