Wed 11 Nov

Guatemala v Canada: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Canada

LWWLW
Guatemala 19%Draw 17%Canada 63% Expected goals 0.92 – 1.96
77%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCanada to win63% · @1.37
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.08

Guatemala vs Canada prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Guatemala host Canada in the CONCACAF Nations League on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 03:00 WAT.

Form guide

Guatemala – form over the last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Suriname 1–0 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Canada – form over the last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to USA 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Guatemala 0.9 – 2.0 Canada in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Guatemala 19% · draw 17% · Canada 63%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.93.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – we make it 58%, the price implies 52%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Guatemala 0–2 Canada. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Guatemala19%fair 5.21 · @6.68
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @4.31
Canada63%fair 1.58 · @1.37
2.88Expected goals
0.92Guatemala xG
1.96Canada xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Guatemala 0.9 – 2.0 Canada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCanada to win63%1.581.37
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.731.93 ▲
Draw no betCanada (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapCanada -0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals54%1.861.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.461.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals83%1.20–
First team to scoreCanada to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultCanada ahead at half-time44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Canada / FT Canada39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.08–

Recent results

Guatemala – last 6

WDWLLL
6 Octvs Suriname1–0W
2 Oct@ Suriname0–0D
29 Sepvs El Salvador6–0W
26 Sep@ Jamaica2–3L
7 Jun@ Ecuador0–3L
5 Jun@ Czech Republic1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Canada – last 6

LWWLWL
7 Oct@ USA0–1L
3 Octvs Peru2–0W
27 Sepvs Chile1–0W
4 Julvs Morocco0–3L
28 Jun@ South Africa1–0W
24 Jun@ Switzerland1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Guatemala and Canada.

Guatemala vs Canada head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guatemala vs Canada?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Guatemala vs Canada?

On our numbers Guatemala have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Canada 63%.

How many goals will there be in Guatemala vs Canada?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guatemala vs Canada?

Our predicted score is Guatemala 0–2 Canada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Guatemala vs Canada?

Guatemala vs Canada (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.