Thu 12 Nov

Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain
1–2
FT
Mijas Las Lagunas 18%Draw 23%Real Jaén 58% Expected goals 0.86 – 1.76
82%
ZoraTips pick

Real Jaén or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Real Jaén to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultReal Jaén to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceReal Jaén or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.31

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén in the Copa Del Rey – Tuesday 10 November, 20:00 WAT.

Form guide

Mijas Las Lagunas – form over the last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Recreativo Huelva 1–1 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game.

Real Jaén – form over the last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Alcorcon 3–4 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.7 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Mijas Las Lagunas 0.9 – 1.8 Real Jaén in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Mijas Las Lagunas 18% · draw 23% · Real Jaén 58%.
  • Safer play: Real Jaén or draw (82%) at 1.20.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Real Jaén to win at 1.83 – we make it 58%, the price implies 55%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Real Jaén or draw, rated at 82% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 Real Jaén. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Mijas Las Lagunas18%fair 5.50 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Real Jaén58%fair 1.71 · @1.83
2.62Expected goals
0.86Mijas Las Lagunas xG
1.76Real Jaén xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%

From our goals model: Mijas Las Lagunas 0.9 – 1.8 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Jaén to win ✓58%1.711.83 ▲
Double chanceReal Jaén or draw ✓82%1.221.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.80
Draw no betReal Jaén (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapMijas Las Lagunas +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreReal Jaén to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultReal Jaén ahead at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén ✓36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.31–

Recent results

Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6

DDDWWD
7 Nov@ Recreativo Huelva1–1D
1 Nov@ Marbella0–0D
24 Octvs Real Betis II1–1D
18 Oct@ Tenerife II3–1W
11 Octvs Sevilla Atletico3–1W
4 Oct@ Sanluqueño2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Jaén – last 6

LWDWDD
7 Nov@ Alcorcon3–4L
2 Novvs Algeciras3–2W
25 Oct@ Atlético Madrid II1–1D
18 Octvs Rayo Majadahonda1–0W
10 Octvs Villarreal II3–3D
3 Oct@ Hércules0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén.

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén head-to-head page →

More Copa Del Rey predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Our pick is Real Jaén or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

On our numbers Mijas Las Lagunas have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Jaén 58%.

How many goals will there be in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Our predicted score is Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.