Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Real Jaén to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Jaén to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceReal Jaén or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.31
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén in the Copa Del Rey – Tuesday 10 November, 20:00 WAT.
Form guide
Mijas Las Lagunas – form over the last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Recreativo Huelva 1–1 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game.
Real Jaén – form over the last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Alcorcon 3–4 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Mijas Las Lagunas 0.9 – 1.8 Real Jaén in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Mijas Las Lagunas 18% · draw 23% · Real Jaén 58%.
Safer play: Real Jaén or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Real Jaén to win at 1.83 – we make it 58%, the price implies 55%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Real Jaén or draw, rated at 82% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 Real Jaén. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Mijas Las Lagunas18%fair 5.50 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Real Jaén58%fair 1.71 · @1.83
2.62Expected goals
0.86Mijas Las Lagunas xG
1.76Real Jaén xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Mijas Las Lagunas 0.9 – 1.8 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✓
58%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Real Jaén or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Real Jaén (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Mijas Las Lagunas +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Real Jaén to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Real Jaén ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6
DDDWWD
7 Nov
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Marbella
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Real Betis II
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
11 Oct
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Sanluqueño
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Jaén – last 6
LWDWDD
7 Nov
@ Alcorcon
3–4
L
2 Nov
vs Algeciras
3–2
W
25 Oct
@ Atlético Madrid II
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Villarreal II
3–3
D
3 Oct
@ Hércules
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén.
What is the prediction for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
Our pick is Real Jaén or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Mijas Las Lagunas have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Jaén 58%.
How many goals will there be in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.