Value bet: Amorebieta to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUD Logroñés to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Amorebieta v UD Logroñés in the Copa Del Rey – Tuesday 10 November, 20:00 WAT, Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Form guide
Amorebieta – form over the last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Basconia 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game.
UD Logroñés – form over the last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Racing Ferrol 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Amorebieta 1.3 – 1.4 UD Logroñés in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Amorebieta 36% · draw 22% · UD Logroñés 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Amorebieta to win at 3.20 – we make it 36%, the price implies 31%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Amorebieta 1–1 UD Logroñés. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Amorebieta36%fair 2.82 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.25
UD Logroñés42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
2.73Expected goals
1.29Amorebieta xG
1.44UD Logroñés xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.3 – 1.4 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✗
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
UD Logroñés (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Amorebieta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
UD Logroñés to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Amorebieta – last 6
LWWWLW
7 Nov
@ Basconia
1–2
L
1 Nov
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Portugalete
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UD Logroñés – last 6
WLWDLW
7 Nov
@ Racing Ferrol
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Mirandes
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Real Avilés
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Lugo
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and UD Logroñés.
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UD Logroñés 42%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–1 UD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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