Saint Martin 70%Draw 17%US Virgin Islands 13%Expected goals 3.69 – 1.83
79%
ZoraTips pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 68% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSaint Martin to win ✗70% · @1.12
Double chanceSaint Martin or draw ✗87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 16.33
Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Saint Martin v US Virgin Islands in the CONCACAF Nations League – Saturday 26 September, 21:00 WAT.
Form guide
Saint Martin – form over the last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Bahamas 8–0 on the road. They are averaging 4.7 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Saint Martin 3.7 – 1.8 US Virgin Islands in expected goals – roughly 5.5 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 79% for over 2.5 goals, 68% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Saint Martin 70% · draw 17% · US Virgin Islands 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – we make it 68%, the price implies 52%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.26, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Saint Martin 3–1 US Virgin Islands. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Saint Martin70%fair 1.44 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @9.00
US Virgin Islands13%fair 7.66 · @13.00
5.53Expected goals
3.69Saint Martin xG
1.83US Virgin Islands xG
68%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–16%
4–16%
3–26%
4–25%
2–15%
2–25%
From our goals model: Saint Martin 3.7 – 1.8 US Virgin Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Martin to win✗
70%
1.44
1.12
Double chance
Saint Martin or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.47
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Saint Martin (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Saint Martin -1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.40 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
2.00 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.30
First team to score
Saint Martin to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Saint Martin ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Martin / FT Saint Martin✗
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
6%
16.33
–
Recent results
Saint Martin – last 3
WWW
23 Sep
@ Bahamas
8–0
W
30 Mar
@ Bonaire
3–0
W
26 Mar
vs Barbados
3–1
W
4.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
US Virgin Islands – last 1
W
25 Mar
vs American Samoa
5–2
W
5.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Martin and US Virgin Islands.
What is the prediction for Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
On our numbers Saint Martin have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and US Virgin Islands 13%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
Our predicted score is Saint Martin 3–1 US Virgin Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbados2
St. Lucia0
Jamaica3
Guatemala2
Honduras2
Suriname3
El Salvador3
Martinique1
Montserrat3
British Virgin Islands0
St. Vincent Grenadines2
French Guyana1