Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Jamaica to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJamaica to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceJamaica or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Jamaica vs Guatemala prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Jamaica v Guatemala in the CONCACAF Nations League – Saturday 26 September, 01:00 WAT.
Form guide
Jamaica – form over the last 3: WDW Most recently they beat India 2–0 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 0.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Guatemala – form over the last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Ecuador 0–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.
On form, Jamaica have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Jamaica 1.7 – 0.7 Guatemala in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Jamaica 61% · draw 25% · Guatemala 13%.
Safer play: Jamaica or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Jamaica to win at 1.75 – we make it 61%, the price implies 57%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Jamaica or draw, rated at 87% confidence at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Jamaica 1–0 Guatemala. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Jamaica61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Guatemala13%fair 7.60 · @4.33
2.43Expected goals
1.74Jamaica xG
0.69Guatemala xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Jamaica 1.7 – 0.7 Guatemala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jamaica to win✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Jamaica or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Jamaica (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Jamaica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Jamaica to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Jamaica ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jamaica / FT Jamaica✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Jamaica – last 3
WDW
27 May
vs India
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ New Caledonia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guatemala – last 3
LLL
7 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ Czech Republic
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Algeria
0–7
L
0.3Scored / game
4.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Guatemala.
Our pick is Jamaica or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jamaica vs Guatemala?
On our numbers Jamaica have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guatemala 13%.
How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Guatemala?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jamaica vs Guatemala?
Our predicted score is Jamaica 1–0 Guatemala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Jamaica vs Guatemala?
Jamaica vs Guatemala (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbados2
St. Lucia0
Honduras2
Suriname3
El Salvador3
Martinique1
Montserrat3
British Virgin Islands0
Saint Martin0
US Virgin Islands2
St. Vincent Grenadines2
French Guyana1