Tre Penne 72%Draw 16%Murata 12%Expected goals 2.35 – 0.83
66%
ZoraTips pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 53% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTre Penne to win ✓72% · @1.04
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Tre Penne vs Murata prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Campionato action on Sunday 8 November: Tre Penne take on Murata from 15:00 WAT. Tre Penne sit 2nd with 20 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Murata are 14th on 4 (in the bottom three). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Tre Penne – form over the last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Folgore 1–1 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Murata – form over the last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Tre Fiori 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.
On form, Tre Penne have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 0.2.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Murata 0–4 Tre Penne.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Tre Penne 2.3 – 0.8 Murata in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 66% for over 2.5 goals, 53% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Tre Penne 72% · draw 16% · Murata 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.50.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – we make it 53%, the price implies 40%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Tre Penne 2–1 Murata. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Tre Penne72%fair 1.39 · @1.04
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @8.20
Murata12%fair 8.18 · @25.00
3.18Expected goals
2.35Tre Penne xG
0.83Murata xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tre Penne 2.3 – 0.8 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Tre Penne vs Murata?
On our numbers Tre Penne have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Murata 12%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Murata?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs Murata?
Our predicted score is Tre Penne 2–1 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tre Penne vs Murata?
Tre Penne vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
