Value bet: Fiorentino to win @ 2.94 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertas to win ✗40% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Fiorentino vs Libertas prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Campionato action on Sunday 8 November: Fiorentino take on Libertas from 15:00 WAT. Fiorentino sit 8th with 9 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Libertas are 9th on 9 (in the bottom half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Fiorentino – form over the last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Cosmos 0–2 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 2.0 per game.
Libertas – form over the last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to La Fiorita 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Fiorentino 1.3 – 1.3 Libertas in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Fiorentino 39% · draw 21% · Libertas 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Fiorentino to win at 2.94 – we make it 39%, the price implies 34%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Fiorentino 1–1 Libertas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Fiorentino39%fair 2.59 · @2.94
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.28
Libertas40%fair 2.49 · @2.16
2.61Expected goals
1.29Fiorentino xG
1.32Libertas xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fiorentino 1.3 – 1.3 Libertas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertas to win✗
40%
2.49
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Draw no bet
Libertas (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Fiorentino +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.86
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Libertas to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertas / FT Libertas✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Fiorentino – last 6
LLDWLD
1 Nov
@ Cosmos
0–2
L
28 Oct
@ Tre Fiori
0–5
L
24 Oct
vs Cailungo
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Faetano
6–0
W
19 Sep
@ Pennarossa
1–3
L
11 Sep
vs La Fiorita
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Libertas – last 6
LLLWDL
31 Oct
@ La Fiorita
0–1
L
28 Oct
@ Folgore
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Folgore
1–2
L
9 Oct
@ Cailungo
2–1
W
18 Sep
vs Faetano
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Virtus
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentino and Libertas.
What is the prediction for Fiorentino vs Libertas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Fiorentino vs Libertas?
On our numbers Fiorentino have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Libertas 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentino vs Libertas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentino vs Libertas?
Our predicted score is Fiorentino 1–1 Libertas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fiorentino vs Libertas?
Fiorentino vs Libertas (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
