Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultComo to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Lens vs Como prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Lens v Como in the UEFA Champions League – Wednesday 4 November, 21:00 WAT, Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lens sit 33rd with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Como are 4th on 9 (in the top four).
Form guide
Lens – form over the last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Lille 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.
Como – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Venezia 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
On form, Como have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Lens 1.3 – 2.3 Como in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 65% for over 2.5 goals, 68% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Lens 24% · draw 14% · Como 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.50.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Como to win, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.62, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Lens 1–2 Como. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Lens24%fair 4.22 · @3.60
Draw14%fair 6.90 · @3.90
Como62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
3.60Expected goals
1.31Lens xG
2.28Como xG
68%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lens 1.3 – 2.3 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Draw no bet
Como (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Lens +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.22
First team to score
Como to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Lens – last 6
LWLWLW
30 Oct
@ Lille
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Paris FC
2–1
W
21 Oct
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
3–1
W
13 Oct
vs Sporting CP
0–2
L
9 Oct
vs Lyon
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
WWWWWL
1 Nov
vs Venezia
1–0
W
27 Oct
@ Torino
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Sassuolo
2–0
W
21 Oct
vs Manchester United
4–1
W
18 Oct
@ Fiorentina
3–1
W
14 Oct
@ Feyenoord
2–3
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Como.
Our pick is Como to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Lens vs Como?
On our numbers Lens have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Como 62%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Como?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Como?
Our predicted score is Lens 1–2 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Como?
Lens vs Como (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
