Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTusker to win45% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 14.48
Tusker vs Shabana prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Tusker host Shabana in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT. Tusker sit 11th with 6 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Shabana are 5th on 9 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Tusker – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Bandari 0–1 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game.
Shabana – form over the last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Mombasa Elite 3–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Shabana 1–0 Tusker.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Tusker 1.0 – 0.8 Shabana in expected goals – roughly 1.8 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Tusker 45% · draw 24% · Shabana 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – we make it 51%, the price implies 47%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Under 2.5 goals, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Tusker 1–0 Shabana. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Tusker45%fair 2.23 · @2.07
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.89
Shabana31%fair 3.18 · @3.42
1.84Expected goals
1.05Tusker xG
0.80Shabana xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tusker 1.0 – 0.8 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Tusker vs Shabana?
On our numbers Tusker have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shabana 31%.
How many goals will there be in Tusker vs Shabana?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tusker vs Shabana?
Our predicted score is Tusker 1–0 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Tusker vs Shabana?
Tusker vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
